Estoril vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1976 |
EST
1 - 2
BOA
28%
22%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
BOA
2 - 2
EST
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
UFT
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
UFT
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
BMA
0 - 2
BEL
36%
29%
36%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEL
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
BEL
4 - 0
LEX
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BOA
2 - 1
BEL
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |