Estoril vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 0
EST
30%
21%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 0
EST
45%
21%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
FCP
4 - 2
EST
58%
19%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
EST
2 - 0
SPB
75%
14%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
BEL
0 - 0
ORI
87%
8%
4%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
VST
2 - 1
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
30%
22%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
BEL
3 - 3
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |