Estoril vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SPB
5 - 2
EST
42%
21%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
EST
3 - 1
OLH
66%
15%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BOA
1 - 4
EST
31%
21%
48%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
EST
8 - 2
OEL
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
EST
6 - 2
VIT
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 2
SCP
45%
20%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 1
BEL
36%
23%
42%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 0
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
FCP
0 - 2
BEL
54%
20%
26%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
BEL
7 - 1
VST
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |