Estoril vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
FCP
0 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
EST
1 - 0
CDM
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
BMA
2 - 1
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
EST
2 - 0
LEX
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
POR
2 - 1
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
0 - 2
SPB
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
SCP
0 - 0
ATL
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
26%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
1 - 1
FCP
22%
27%
50%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
CDM
6 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |