Estoril vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
CHA
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 3
EST
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 2
TON
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARO
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 2
MOR
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
3 - 0
ARO
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 0
FEI
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |