Estoril vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
SAN
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 1
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
NAV
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
TRO
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 0
ARO
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 0
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
ARO
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 0
UNM
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |