Estoril vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
SVP
1 - 2
EST
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 2
EST
31%
28%
40%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
SVP
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
HAP
0 - 1
EST
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 4
SCP
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
GFC
2 - 0
ACA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
ACA
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 1
PAÇ
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |