Estoril vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 2
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
VST
1 - 3
EST
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
EST
2 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
SLB
7 - 1
EST
85%
10%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BMA
1 - 0
ACA
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 0
LEX
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
BOA
4 - 2
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 4
SCP
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |