Estoril vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
EST
0 - 0
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 0
EST
63%
18%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
FCB
4 - 0
EST
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
EST
2 - 3
FCP
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
SPB
0 - 3
EST
50%
22%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ACA
2 - 5
BEL
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
SCP
5 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ACA
4 - 0
LGC
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |