Estoril vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
EST
0 - 2
BEL
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 0
EST
30%
21%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 0
EST
45%
21%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
FCP
4 - 2
EST
58%
19%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 4
ATL
56%
20%
24%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
26%
20%
55%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
ORI
3 - 1
ACA
48%
20%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SLB
3 - 2
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |