Estoril vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
VST
5 - 3
EST
46%
21%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
EST
5 - 2
VIT
76%
13%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
EST
1 - 1
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
EST
1 - 2
OLH
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
SCP
3 - 2
EST
92%
5%
3%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
ACA
3 - 0
VIT
78%
12%
11%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
29%
22%
49%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
ACA
1 - 0
OLH
51%
19%
30%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
SCP
5 - 3
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
ACA
0 - 3
BEL
35%
21%
45%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |