Estoril U23 vs CD Santa Clara U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
10º
1º
3
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
7 | 27 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 27 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 25 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 24 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 23 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 23 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 23 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 21 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 11 |
16º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
71% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BES
2 - 1
EST
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
EST
4 - 0
MAF
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
VIZ
0 - 0
EST
23%
23%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
EST
3 - 1
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
BES
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
LEX
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 3
SAN
37%
23%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACV
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAN
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |