Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
12%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
3º
1º
14
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
EST
0 - 2
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
VIZ
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
EST
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
EST
14%
20%
67%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
GIL
64%
19%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BES
3 - 5
GIL
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
BES
14%
16%
70%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
BES
2 - 2
EST
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
FAM
3 - 2
BES
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
BES
3 - 1
VIZ
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |