Estonia U23s vs England C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ETS
1 - 2
ENG
81%
12%
7%
|
47 | 6 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SVK
4 - 0
ETS
76%
16%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 3
LVA
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
England C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ETS
1 - 2
ENG
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 47 | 41 | 0 |