Estonia U21 vs Turkey U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2010 |
EST
2 - 3
ARM
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
GEO
2 - 0
EST
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
LTU
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
TUR
0 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ARM
1 - 1
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Turkey U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
BIH
4 - 1
TUR
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
TUR
0 - 1
SVK
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
TUR
0 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 3
SUI
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 0
ARM
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |