Estonia U21 vs Tajikistan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
RUS
1 - 0
EST
86%
11%
4%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
AND
0 - 2
EST
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
BGR
1 - 1
EST
72%
19%
10%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SVN
0 - 1
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
AND
41%
24%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 3
MDA
24%
22%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
TJK
2 - 4
LTU
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
BLR
5 - 2
TJK
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 0
LVA
18%
23%
59%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
TJK
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |