Estonia U21 vs Tajikistan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
LVA
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
FIN
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SUI
3 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 74 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
GEO
2 - 1
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
AZE
2 - 0
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TUK
1 - 1
TJK
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
KGZ
3 - 1
TJK
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
TJK
1 - 1
EST
27%
23%
51%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
5 - 0
TJK
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
2 - 0
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | -1 |