Estonia U21 vs Norway U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
72.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 0
EST
84%
13%
3%
|
28 | 81 | 53 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
FIN
2 - 1
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
MKD
25%
24%
52%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +4 |
| 30 May. 2008 |
EST
0 - 4
LTU
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
LVA
2 - 1
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 5
ENG
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
LIE
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 5 | 63 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 1
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
JOR
0 - 0
NOR
14%
19%
67%
|
68 | 10 | 58 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 2
IRQ
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 11 | 57 | 0 |