Estonia U21 vs Kirguistán U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
TUK
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
LVA
1 - 0
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
EST
1 - 2
BLR
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
TJK
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
LVA
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Kirguistán U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
KGZ
5 - 3
LVA
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RUS
0 - 0
KGZ
88%
9%
3%
|
25 | 75 | 50 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
KGZ
1 - 3
KAZ
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
KGZ
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
KGZ
3 - 1
TJK
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |