Estonia U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
CYP
3 - 1
EST
70%
16%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
IRL
1 - 0
EST
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
EST
1 - 3
POR
12%
20%
68%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
EST
0 - 2
BIH
45%
23%
33%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
EST
0 - 4
SCO
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
NED
4 - 2
CYP
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
POR
3 - 0
NED
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
NED
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
NED
1 - 1
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
CYP
0 - 1
NED
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |