Estonia U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
RUS
8%
17%
76%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
DEN
8 - 0
EST
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
BLR
18%
23%
60%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
EST
0 - 3
RUS
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
LVA
0 - 2
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
BGR
1 - 5
SVN
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
BGR
2 - 3
DEN
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SVN
2 - 1
BGR
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
BGR
3 - 3
RUS
19%
23%
59%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
RUS
3 - 1
BGR
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |