Estonia U19 vs Iceland U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
74.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DNK
4 - 0
EST
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
SVK
3 - 1
EST
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
IRL
1 - 0
EST
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
GRC
14%
19%
68%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 0
ISL
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 1
DNK
26%
21%
53%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
GRC
0 - 0
ISL
48%
23%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 1
NOR
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 2
ESP
9%
19%
72%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |