Esteghlal Tehran vs Saba Qom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
FAJ
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
RAH
0 - 2
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
PER
0 - 0
EST
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
MAL
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saba Qom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
SAB
3 - 3
DAM
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAT
1 - 0
SAB
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SAB
1 - 0
GAH
78%
17%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 0
SAB
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAB
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |