Esteghlal Tehran vs Pakhtakor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
EST
0 - 2
TRA
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AKF
3 - 1
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
ALN
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 2
OLM
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NAV
5 - 2
PAK
38%
29%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 1
RAY
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
PAK
3 - 1
AND
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 0
PAK
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |