Esteghlal Tehran vs Nassaji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 1
EST
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
SAI
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 3
EST
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
PER
45%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
AAK
68%
22%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nassaji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
NAS
2 - 3
ZOB
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
NAS
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
NAS
1 - 1
MAC
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
NAS
0 - 1
SAN
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
PAY
2 - 1
NAS
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |