Esteghlal Tehran vs Nasaf Qarshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
EST
4 - 1
SHA
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RAH
2 - 2
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 2
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
EST
2 - 3
PER
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
DSA
0 - 2
NAS
56%
26%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
NAS
2 - 4
AJA
26%
22%
53%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PAK
3 - 1
NAS
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
NAS
1 - 1
PAK
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AND
0 - 4
NAS
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |