Esteghlal Tehran vs Naft Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ZOB
1 - 1
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SAB
1 - 1
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
EST
2 - 3
TRA
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SAI
1 - 2
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
FOO
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
SAI
0 - 0
NAT
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAT
2 - 1
FOO
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
NAT
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAT
0 - 1
SEP
49%
28%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
EKU
0 - 0
NAT
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |