Esteghlal Tehran vs Naft Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
RAY
1 - 0
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 1
ALS
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MAL
4 - 2
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
SAI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAT
1 - 1
FOO
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NAT
3 - 0
TRA
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 0
NAT
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SMK
0 - 1
NAT
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
NAT
2 - 1
SAI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |