Esteghlal Tehran vs Mohammedan Dhaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1991 |
EST
2 - 0
BAN
81%
13%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1991 |
EST
2 - 1
APR
83%
13%
5%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1990 |
EST
1 - 0
SHA
62%
19%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1990 |
SHA
1 - 1
EST
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
ALS
2 - 0
EST
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mohammedan Dhaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1991 |
MDH
0 - 0
APR
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1991 |
MDH
1 - 1
BAN
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1990 |
MDH
2 - 1
SAL
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1990 |
MDH
5 - 0
CLA
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 8 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1989 |
SHA
1 - 0
MDH
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |