Esteghlal Tehran vs Foolad Khuzestan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
FAJ
2 - 1
EST
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
SMK
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
DAM
0 - 1
EST
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
SEP
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NAT
0 - 2
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Foolad Khuzestan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
FOO
0 - 1
ZOB
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NAT
1 - 3
FOO
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
FOO
4 - 0
MES
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 2
FOO
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
PER
1 - 1
FOO
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |