Esteghlal Tehran vs Fajr Sepasi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 1
EST
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
ZOB
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 2
EST
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
NAF
0 - 3
EST
23%
27%
51%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
FAJ
0 - 0
SAN
23%
29%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GOH
2 - 0
FAJ
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
FAJ
1 - 1
NAS
23%
29%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
FAJ
65%
24%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
FAJ
1 - 1
TRA
21%
28%
51%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |