Esteghlal Tehran vs Damash Gilan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOO
0 - 1
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
AIN
0 - 1
EST
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
EST
3 - 0
RAY
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
SEP
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
GAH
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Damash Gilan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
DAM
2 - 1
SEP
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
NAT
2 - 0
DAM
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DAM
1 - 2
TRA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GAH
1 - 2
DAM
19%
26%
55%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
DAM
3 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |