Esteghlal Tehran vs Damash Gilan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
SEP
1 - 1
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
PAS
0 - 2
EST
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
MAL
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
ALN
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
SAA
2 - 2
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Damash Gilan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
DAM
0 - 0
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
DAM
3 - 2
FAJ
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 0
DAM
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
GOH
0 - 0
DAM
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
DAM
3 - 1
NAF
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |