Esteghlal Tehran vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MAL
4 - 2
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
SAI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
SMK
1 - 1
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
ZOB
49%
28%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
NAH
4 - 1
ALS
26%
28%
47%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALK
90%
8%
3%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALT
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALH
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALS
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |