Esteghlal Tehran vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
EST
0 - 3
ZOB
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 2
EST
27%
29%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SAA
2 - 0
EST
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
PER
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NAS
2 - 2
EST
26%
29%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALO
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 1
RAY
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALW
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALN
33%
23%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |