Esteghlal Tehran vs Al-Jazira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
36%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
ZOB
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
NAS
72%
17%
10%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
EST
4 - 1
SHA
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RAH
2 - 2
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Jazira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
EMI
3 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
AJM
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 2
RAY
71%
17%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
WAS
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
NAS
2 - 4
AJA
26%
22%
53%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |