Esteghlal Tehran vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
EKU
1 - 0
EST
25%
29%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
MAL
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SAQ
1 - 2
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PAY
0 - 2
EST
25%
30%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
GOH
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALS
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GHA
0 - 3
WAK
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GHA
2 - 1
RAY
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 0
GHA
24%
22%
54%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KHO
0 - 0
GHA
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |