Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
50.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
16º
14º
35
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Khuzestan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
EKU
2 - 2
PER
17%
27%
56%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 0
EKU
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
EKU
1 - 3
SEP
15%
25%
61%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 1
EKU
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
EKU
1 - 1
GOH
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MES
1 - 4
MAL
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SEP
4 - 1
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MES
0 - 2
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
GOH
2 - 0
MES
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
MES
3 - 0
FOO
52%
28%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |