Estarreja vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
EST
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
PAM
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GON
0 - 3
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
SAL
13%
26%
61%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
GON
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 0
SOU
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -3 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 2
SOU
80%
15%
5%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
SAL
32%
29%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |