Estarreja vs Moimenta da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
CES
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ANA
4 - 2
EST
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
OLI
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
COI
4 - 3
EST
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
MOI
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MOI
0 - 1
ANA
20%
21%
58%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RDA
3 - 0
MOI
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CES
2 - 1
MOI
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MOI
2 - 2
SOU
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
MOI
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |