Estarreja vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GON
1 - 0
EST
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
MOI
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
CES
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ANA
4 - 2
EST
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
OLI
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 2
ANA
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
RDA
3 - 0
GOU
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 3
MOR
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -3 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CES
4 - 0
GOU
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |