Estarreja vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
EST
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 5
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
COI
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MOI
1 - 1
EST
17%
23%
61%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GON
4 - 0
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 0
GON
80%
15%
5%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GON
5 - 1
OLI
26%
26%
49%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COI
1 - 1
GON
59%
23%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GON
0 - 0
MOI
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |