Estarreja vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
OFR
3 - 3
EST
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
LUS
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
LUS
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
EST
5 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 3
ANA
29%
26%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 2
FAF
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OFR
4 - 2
GAF
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 3
LUS
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
GAF
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |