Estarreja vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ANA
4 - 2
EST
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
OLI
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
COI
4 - 3
EST
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
MOI
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 1
EST
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CES
4 - 0
GOU
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CES
2 - 1
MOI
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 0
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CES
0 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CES
4 - 2
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |