Estarreja vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
EST
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
GON
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
EST
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 5
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
GON
25%
26%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
CES
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
OLI
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COI
2 - 2
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOI
1 - 0
CES
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |