Estarreja vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 4
EST
21%
25%
53%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 1
EST
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
EST
5 - 0
OFR
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
CES
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CES
0 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
CES
34%
23%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
ANA
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
CES
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |