Estanciano vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 2
EST
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
TRE
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 2
TRE
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
TRE
1 - 3
CAM
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |