Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-4
Estanciano vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TRE
4 - 0
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
EST
3 - 1
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GOI
0 - 2
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
CEN
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GOI
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 2
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
IMP
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
IMP
0 - 0
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |