Estanciano vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
65.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
SER
13%
22%
65%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
DOR
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 2
EST
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
EST
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 0
FFC
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
LAG
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
LAG
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 1
SOU
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |