Estanciano vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 1
EST
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
EST
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
AFP
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SER
4 - 1
EST
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
EST
9%
15%
75%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CON
4 - 1
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 6 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |